Skip to article
SQsuperquant.Buy $STONKB Open the research lab
Resources › Interactive calculatorBacktesting and evidence

Trade-sequence Monte Carlo simulator

Resample your closed-trade results to see how the order of the same trades changes drawdown and final return.

Use the free tool
FREE CALCULATOR · RUNS IN YOUR BROWSER

Trade-sequence Monte Carlo

Resample your closed-trade results with replacement to see how much the order of the same trades changes drawdown and final return. Uses the SuperQuant backtest engine's seeded bootstrap.

Keep the original trade order: the block method resamples runs of neighbouring trades.
Result

Turn on JavaScript to calculate. Nothing you type is sent to SuperQuant.

Method. With replacement, each resample draws the same number of trades from your list at random and records final return and maximum drawdown. The block bootstrap instead copies runs of consecutive trades (mean block length 2, 5 and 10) sized against current equity, so losing streaks stay together. Percentiles describe resampled history only; serial correlation, regime change and execution differences are not modeled.

BEFORE YOU START

Keep planned assumptions separate from later observations. Mark missing information as unknown instead of zero. Templates organize research; they do not recommend a trade or document a verified live fill.

What does this worksheet include?

Editable fields for the research task named above. Any example values are fictional and should be removed or replaced before use.

This resource is educational, not individualized financial advice. Calculator inputs stay in your browser. Check your venue's current contract, margin and fee documentation.