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Trade-sequence Monte Carlo simulator

Resample your closed-trade results to see how the order of the same trades changes drawdown and final return.

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Trade-sequence Monte Carlo

Resample your closed-trade results with replacement to see how much the order of the same trades changes drawdown and final return. Uses the SuperQuant backtest engine's seeded bootstrap.

Keep the original trade order: the block method resamples runs of neighbouring trades.
Result

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Method. With replacement, each resample draws the same number of trades from your list at random and records final return and maximum drawdown. The block bootstrap instead copies runs of consecutive trades (mean block length 2, 5 and 10) sized against current equity, so losing streaks stay together. Percentiles describe resampled history only; serial correlation, regime change and execution differences are not modeled.

BEFORE YOU START

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What does this worksheet include?

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