策略研究

策略假设工作表

明确写出研究问题、可量化的规则、基准、失效条件与复盘日期。

INTERACTIVE WORKSHEET

您的研究工作表

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1. Observation

What repeated, measurable event prompted this question?

2. Mechanism

Why might the event persist long enough to study? What alternatives explain it?

3. Rules, before testing

Instrument and data source:

Signal and exact timestamp when it becomes known:

Entry and exit:

Risk-sizing formula and assumptions:

Fees, spread, slippage and funding:

Benchmark:

4. Failure conditions

What result would make you stop or reject the explanation? Which regime or cost shock should break it?

5. Protection from re-use

Record the parameter search. Set aside a chronological holdout before tuning. Note each time the holdout influenced a later decision.

6. Decision record

Strategy and data version / fingerprint:

Date prepared, before results:

Observed result and limitations:

Decision: reject / revise hypothesis / collect more evidence:

Next review date:

BEFORE YOU START

将规划假设与后续观察分开保存。将缺失信息标记为未知，而不是零。模板用于组织研究；它们不推荐交易，也不记录经过验证的实盘成交。

What does this worksheet include?

上文所述研究任务的可编辑字段。任何示例数值均为虚构，使用前应删除或替换。

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