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Навчання › Тема 05НАВЧАЛЬНИЙ ШЛЯХ SUPERQUANT · 05

Backtesting and evidence

Study historical research without hiding bias, costs, data limits or uncertain results.

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15 статей
01 / LIMITATIONS GUIDE

Monte Carlo Trade Resampling: What the Simulation Can and Cannot Say

Compare shuffled trades with independent and block-bootstrap samples, reproduce a drawdown example, and see exactly what SuperQuant's diagnostic measures.

7 хвилина читання ↗
02 / COMPARISON GUIDE

Backtesting vs Paper Trading vs Forward Observation

Compare historical backtests, paper trading and prospective observation by the evidence each stage can provide—and the execution evidence each one still lacks.

7 хвилина читання ↗
03 / COST WORKSHEET

Crypto Backtest Costs: Include Fees, Spread, Slippage and Funding

Build a transparent crypto backtest cost model with separate fee, spread, slippage and funding assumptions, then test whether the conclusion survives higher costs.

9 хвилина читання ↗
04 / METRICS GUIDE

Crypto Backtest Metrics: Sharpe, Sortino and Profit Factor

Calculate Sharpe, Sortino and profit factor from a small fictional sample, then read each beside drawdown, trade count, costs and the test process.

6 хвилина читання ↗
05 / METHOD GUIDE

Crypto Backtest Overfitting: Why the Best Result Can Mislead

Understand how repeated strategy searches fit historical noise, then reduce avoidable overfitting with preregistered rules, chronological tests and honest reporting.

7 хвилина читання ↗
06 / PRACTICAL CHECKLIST

Crypto Backtesting Data Quality: Check Gaps, Timestamps and Provenance

A practical audit for crypto backtest data: verify the market and time basis, find missing or duplicate candles, align funding and signals, and preserve a reproducible source record.

7 хвилина читання ↗
07 / STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE

Crypto Walk-Forward Testing: Repeated Windows, Changing Rules

Plan sequential crypto training and test windows, predeclare any update schedule, compare every evaluation window, and distinguish walk-forward analysis from one reserved holdout.

7 хвилина читання ↗
08 / QUANT TUTORIAL

Backtesting Perp Strategies: Handling Historical Funding Rates and Open Interest

Avoid common backtest pitfalls: aligning 1-hour and 8-hour funding payments, handling lookahead bias in open interest snapshots, and simulating liquidation slippage.

5 хвилина читання ↗
09 / STEP-BY-STEP WORKFLOW

How to Backtest a Crypto Trading Strategy: A Research Workflow

Learn how to backtest a crypto strategy with checked candle data, causal entries, realistic costs, chronological tests and a record of what the result can prove.

8 хвилина читання ↗
10 / EVALUATION GUIDE

Whale Scorecards: Hit Rates, Survivorship and Why a Ranked List Flatters Itself

How a top-trader scorecard is built from detected entries, what a 24-hour hit rate measures, and why ranking by recent profit can make past results look stronger than what follows.

7 хвилина читання ↗
11 / FIELD GUIDE

Hyperliquid Whale Tracking: What Public Positions Can and Cannot Tell You

Hyperliquid exposes positions by address. Learn what a whale tracker can read from that record, how a top-trader list is chosen, and which conclusions the data cannot support.

8 хвилина читання ↗
12 / TIMING GUIDE

Look-Ahead Bias in Backtesting: Check What Was Knowable

Find look-ahead bias by tracing signal timestamps, candle completion and order timing; separate information available at the decision from later outcomes.

7 хвилина читання ↗
13 / RESEARCH CHECKLIST

On-Chain Data in Crypto Trading Research: What Wallet Activity Can and Cannot Prove

Use wallet flows, holder lists and address labels in crypto research without mistaking attribution for identity or applying today's labels to yesterday's data.

7 хвилина читання ↗
14 / METHOD GUIDE

Out-of-Sample Crypto Testing: Freeze One Rule before the Holdout

Reserve one later crypto data segment before tuning, freeze preprocessing and costs, evaluate once, and retire the holdout if its result changes your crypto research.

7 хвилина читання ↗
15 / FIELD GUIDE

Verifiable Crypto TA: SHA-256 Pre-Trade Receipts, Out-of-Sample Grading, and Zero Hindsight

Learn why cryptocurrency technical analysis requires cryptographic SHA-256 pre-trade receipts, how out-of-sample grading prevents hindsight bias, and how to verify setups.

5 хвилина читання ↗