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Expectancy calculator

Explore a hypothetical sample's average result per trade before additional uncertainty and costs.

CALC
RUN LOCALLY IN YOUR BROWSER

Expected value per example trade

A sample average depends on the data and may not persist.

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS · NOT A FORECASTEnter your values to calculate

Illustrative historical expectancy per trade after the entered cost

Sample expectancy = win rate × average win − loss rate × average loss − entered average costs

A positive historical sample average is descriptive. Sample length, selection, dependence between outcomes, changing markets and actual fill quality still matter.

This resource is educational, not individualized financial advice. Calculator inputs stay in your browser. Check your venue's current contract, margin and fee documentation.